Come on, Pacquiao could deny Marcos Jr. much-needed votes in Mindanao for 2022 election – political analysts

Political experts predict a divided Mindanao as presidential aspirants Sens. Christopher “Bong” Go and Manny Pacquiao could still form a stronghold in the region, despite Davao Mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio’s last-minute candidacy for vice-presidency and teaming up with Ferdinand. Bongbong “Marcos Jr.

In an online forum hosted by the Philippine Press Institute (PPI), panelist policy strategist Malou Tiquia and policy professor Richard Heydarian noted that Marcos Jr.’s alleged lead in polling agency polls may not reflect its share of votes in the southern Philippines. . Political analyst Ramon Casiple was a third panelist.

“Mr. Marcos’ base is uniquely a base identified with him,” said Tiquia, founder of lobbying and campaigning firm Publicus Asia, Inc.

“When Mayor Sara was removed from the list, the votes for Mayor Sara went to Mr. Marcos and the Senator [Bong] Go. Now that she’s back in the race, I think the support will build with her, ”she explained.

Marcos Jr. recently topped the Social Weather Station rankings order investigation to presidential aspirants conducted October 20-23. It collected 47% of the 1,200 survey participants. Vice-President Leni Robredo came in second with 18% of the respondents, followed by the mayor of the city of Manila Francisco “Isko Moreno” Domagoso with 13%.

For Heydarian, however, Mindanao is now an open playing field that could deprive late dictator Ferdinand Marcos Sr.’s namesake of a significant number of votes to win the presidential race.

“Will Bong Go fill the void of Sara who returns? [in the race]? Will Pacquiao also come in and try to consolidate his rise in Mindanao? He said, noting the field strategies of the two aspirants, who are from Davao and General Santos respectively.

“In short, will there be a Bong Go-Pacquiao wall – a common, uncoordinated wall – that will prevent Bongbong from getting votes from Mindanao where Sara could have?” Heydarian raised.

Despite Marcos Jr.’s lead in recent polls and the partnership with Duterte-Carpio, the former senator did not get the backing of President Rodrigo Duterte. Instead, the outgoing president publicly declared his Support for the presidential candidacy of his former assistant and the candidacy of his daughter Duterte-Carpio for the vice-presidency. (See A Foul Week of Surprises and Compromises)

What’s more, political experts also predict that votes in known bailiwicks of top candidates may not be as strong as in the past, with people’s choices also changing based on political alliances.

Ngayon, sa daming paksyon, nagbiyak-biyak ‘yan. Pati yung mga tumatakbo nilang mga tao, nag away-away na rin sa mga local areas ngayonsaid Mindanao-based sociologist Mario Aguja, a forum reactor.

(These days, with so many factions emerging, support has been divided. Even those running for local government are fighting in their areas.)

“Nakita naman natin yung mga bailiwick na tinatawag, hindi ko na masabi na gano’n pa din siya powerful ka. At the end of the day, voters, I’m sure, will have a good mix of who they’re going to vote for, ”said another Reactor, political science professor Edmund Tayao.

(We’ve seen the so-called bailiwicks before. I can’t say these areas remain so powerful today. Ultimately voters, I’m sure, will have a good mix of who they go to vote for. .)

Tayao, who is also the executive director of the Local Government Development Foundation, stressed that it was still too early to predict winners based on top polls, citing rankings that are not yet stable.

He explained that while Robredo and Moreno may not be at the top of the polls, they remain “strong contenders” for the presidential race, as both continue to feature in the top three of those studies, while also collecting more. ground support.

As the May elections approach, political experts remind voters that the absence of genuine political parties represented by candidates should not obscure the need to assess candidates against their platform of issues beyond. of navigation in the pandemic.

“[Ngayon pandemya…] magkaproblema tayo kasi talagang ang hirap ng the procurement of goods and materials’ no and napabayaan talaga yung manufacturing and agricultural. So sana hindi lang yung special interest (from what I learned) management, said Tayao.

(This pandemic, we have had problems and difficulties in sourcing goods and materials. And the manufacturing and agricultural sectors have also been neglected. So I hope that it is not only the particular interests of the candidates that are being taken into account. account.)

“If you are asking who among the candidates might be pushing for meaningful leadership in these particular areas, honestly, I haven’t heard anyone (among the aspirants) really try those areas,” he added.

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